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06/14/2004: "Pistons' depth shows"


Box scores from the first four games of the NBA finals:











1st2nd3rd4thO.T.ESPN
1Detroit22182423link
at L.A.19221717
2Detroit162030232link
at L.A.1826242110
3L.A.16161917link
at Detroit24152425
4L.A.22171724link
at Detroit21201532
L.A.Total23101
Det.Total21340

To keep things confusing, I have two columns for each quarter, one for each team. The bottom rows indicate how many quarters each team has won. It is not surprising that the Pistons, up three games to one, are up in quarters, 10-7 (I count the overtime session as a separate quarter).

What I was not surprised to see was that the Pistons have outscored the Lakers in all four fourth quarters and in three out of four third quarters. The Lakers did best earlier in games, winning five of eight first half quarters. The anomoly here is that the Lakers won the series' only overtime session. Perhaps the Lakers were hopped up on adreniline high enough to survive the last five minutes.

Anyway, I post this to support my contention that the Pistons are beating the Lakers with their depth. That the Pistons are wearing down the Lakers. Thus, the Pistons gain a comparitive edge as the games wear on.

If I weren't so lazy, I'd dig up and analyze free throw percentages by quarter. When players get tired, their legs go, and they lose theuir shooting touch. I expect that such an analysis would show that the Lakers are surprisingly inaccurate from the free throw line late in the games.

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