Tomorrowism Blog

So little talent, so much pretension.

Wednesday, November 17th

Fallujah: The Beginning of the End


Prompted by a Command Post piece.

Reminds me of that whack-a-mole game from roadside carnivals. There are nine holes on a 3/2' (/12 meter) board; mole pops up and a the player is supposed to whack the mole on the head with a hammer.

These terrorists keep popping up wherever. I have every confidence that they are being hammered down pretty quickly. I wonder if our friends the Brits get to play this time?

This also reminds me of a EEE 105 lecture (ecology was one of the E's). If a farmer is to cut down a hedgerow between fields, the time to do it is in winter, not summer. In summer, the hedgerow is home to all sorts of plant eating bugs; cutting the hedgerow in summer actually increases crop loss, as the newly homeless bugs find other plants to nest in.

We just took down one heck of a hedgerow in Fallujah. Now we're getting the bugs in their new nesting sites. This is good.
Alan on 11.17.04 @ 12:43 PM CT [link]


Tuesday, November 2nd

Zogby trends: no help.


I recall hearing on Sean Hannity's radio show (from Zogby, I nopw believe) that trands matter; clear trends emerge in the 10 days leading to the election.

So I formatted Zogby's tracking polls to highlight trends in the 10 states Zogby is tracking.

Few trends have emerged:

StateEVs"Trend"
CO9Bumpy Bush trend
FL27Bumpy Kerry trend; late Bush push
IA7Bumpy Kerry trend
MI17Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle
MN10Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle
NM5All Bush until 10/31; late Kerry trend
NV5All Bush
OH20Bush to start and end; Kerry in the middle
PA21All Kerry
WI10Bush trend


These uncertain trends make it too close to call. Plus, this is Zogby only. That said, things do not look good for Bush.
Alan on 11.02.04 @ 12:25 AM CT [link]



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