11/02/2004: "Zogby trends: no help."
I recall hearing on Sean Hannity's radio show (from Zogby, I nopw believe) that trands matter; clear trends emerge in the 10 days leading to the election.
So I formatted Zogby's tracking polls to highlight trends in the 10 states Zogby is tracking.
Few trends have emerged:
|CO||9||Bumpy Bush trend|
|FL||27||Bumpy Kerry trend; late Bush push|
|IA||7||Bumpy Kerry trend|
|MI||17||Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle|
|MN||10||Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle|
|NM||5||All Bush until 10/31; late Kerry trend|
|OH||20||Bush to start and end; Kerry in the middle|
These uncertain trends make it too close to call. Plus, this is Zogby only. That said, things do not look good for Bush.